Arms Control Wonk: Leading Voices on Arms Control, Disarmament and Non-Proliferation

Guest Post – Always Be Casting: An Estimate of Iranian Solid Rocket Motor Production

This guest post is by Carl Parkin. Jon Gambrell has a story with the Associated Press on the reconstitution of Iran’s missile program in the wake of the 12-Day War. That story is based in part on this report. Introduction At the outset of Operation Rising Lion, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu justified Israel’s attack …

A Firstful of Interceptors: ABM Performance During True Promise II

Introduction This is the second in a series of blog posts I’m writing on True Promise II, the October 2024 Iranian missile attack against Israel. This post focuses on the U.S. and Israeli missile defense efforts, building on my previous post on TP II as well as the work and methodology outlined by Steve Fetter …

Pentagon Blocks Ukraine Strikes

Alex Ward and others at the Wall Street Journal reported on the details of a Pentagon review process that has halted Ukraine’s ability to conduct long-range strikes into Russia with ATACMs, Storm Shadow and other systems that need US targeting data. Jeffrey and Aaron talk about what we already knew, what we didn’t, and what …

Ninety Percent Of The Time, The Missile Works Every Time: Iranian Missile Failure Rates During True Promise II

This is the first in a series of posts I am writing on True Promise II to complement the piece I did on ABM expenditures during the 12 Day War. I hope it will also serve as a corrective to some poor quality information that has been circulating since the start of the missile exchanges …